The Forecast Center of the Institute of Meteorology maintains a close watch on the development of cyclonic activity in the Caribbean, where there is currently an extensive area of showers and electrical storms, which is located over the southeast of the Caribbean Sea and covers the north of Venezuela, the Dutch Antilles and the southern portion of the Lesser Antilles.
This disturbance is associated with an active tropical wave, which has a low pressure center at its axis. The system has a high probability of becoming a Tropical Depression in the next 24 to 48 hours as it moves west-northwest.
This tropical wave moves slowly under unfavorable atmospheric conditions for its development, due to strong winds in the upper levels of the troposphere. These conditions will become more favorable in the coming days over the central Caribbean, where it could reach a rapid tropical cyclone development, as it tilts its trajectory to the northwest.
So far, the trajectory forecast models consulted show different possibilities over the western Caribbean, ranging from the western and central regions of Cuba to the Yucatan channel or the peninsula of the same name between Monday 26 and Tuesday 27 of next week.
On Sunday night this system could be in western Caribbean waters between seas south of Cuba west of Jamaica and northeast of Cape Gracias a Dios, Nicaragua. (With information from the Institute of Meteorology)