©Reuters. File image of a detail of the facade of the US Treasury Department building in Washington, DC
By Herbert Lash
NEW YORK, Sept 20 (Reuters) – The yield on two-year U.S. Treasury bonds, a rough indicator of interest rate expectations, rose to its highest level in 15 years on Tuesday, a day earlier. that the Federal Reserve is likely to raise rates by 75 basis points in its fight against inflation.
* The two-year bond is highly sensitive to changes in monetary policy expectations and reached 3.992% early on Tuesday. The last time its yield exceeded 4% was on October 18, 2007.
* The Fed will announce its monetary policy decision on Wednesday. Money markets are fully pricing in a 75 basis point rate hike, while the probability of a higher one has shrunk to 16%, according to CME’s FedWatch tool.
* Sweden’s central bank raised interest rates a percentage point higher than expected to 1.75% and warned of further hikes, joining others around the world that are also raising rates to control the inflation.
* Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will stick to his pro-tightening stance and desist from offering the dovish tone that has fueled recent post-meeting rallies, said Johan Grahn, ETF chief strategist. at AllianzIM.
* Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields soared to 3.604% before paring some gains. The yield eventually rose 8 basis points to 3.569%, having topped 3.5% for the first time in 11 years on Monday.
* The two-year yield advanced 1.2 basis points to 3.958%.
* The gap between the two-year and 10-year yields reached -47.5 basis points, approaching its largest negative difference since August 10, when it hit -56.2 basis points. The gap narrowed later in the session to -39.1 basis points.
* The 30-year Treasury bond yield rose 7.4 basis points to 3.579%.
(Reporting by Samuel IndykEdited in Spanish by Javier López de Lérida)